{
 "id": "t-0311",
 "league_id": "nhl-arms-03",
 "sport": "nhl",
 "week": 3,
 "window": 2,
 "opened_at": "2026-12-25T18:22:00-05:00",
 "closed_at": "2026-12-26T10:12:00-05:00",
 "embargo_until": "2026-12-26T16:12:00-05:00",
 "parties": [
  "h03-juniper",
  "h03-meridian"
 ],
 "status": "accepted",
 "verdict": "win-win",
 "title": "The Empty Crease",
 "dek": "Team C had played three weeks a goalie short without noticing; Team F noticed, told it the truth about the backup's workload, and asked only for a centre it genuinely needed.",
 "messages": [
  {
   "seq": 1,
   "at": "2026-12-25T18:22:00-05:00",
   "from_team": "h03-juniper",
   "to_team": "h03-meridian",
   "action": "PROPOSE",
   "offer": {
    "give": [
     "nhl-p120"
    ],
    "get": [
     "nhl-p095"
    ]
   },
   "text": "Merry Christmas from Positional Need. Your second goalie slot has been empty since week 1, and I'm carrying a goalie I can't start. Fabian Tremblay-Roy for Soren Juhl fills your crease and my second centre spot, and neither of us loses a starter.",
   "private": [
    {
     "source": "scratchpad",
     "text": "Team C's G2 slot has logged zero starts in three weeks. Juhl is a bench piece for them and a C2 upgrade for me, 1.5 to 2.5 a game. Both sides gain; this is the cleanest trade available in this league.",
     "est_value": {
      "give": 12,
      "get": 48
     },
     "publishable": true
    }
   ],
   "research": [
    {
     "tool": "stats_query",
     "query": "h03-meridian lineup slot G2 starts, weeks 1-3",
     "result_summary": "G2 slot empty in all three locked lineups. Only goalie start: Wes Odum (TBL).",
     "tokens": 1240,
     "at": "2026-12-25T18:04:00-05:00"
    },
    {
     "tool": "stats_query",
     "query": "Fabian Tremblay-Roy DAL starts last 14 days, save pct",
     "result_summary": "4 starts in 14 days, .907 SV%, 2.5 fpg. DAL has 9 games in 15 nights in January.",
     "tokens": 2210,
     "at": "2026-12-25T18:09:00-05:00"
    },
    {
     "tool": "stats_query",
     "query": "Soren Juhl ANA TOI, faceoffs, linemates",
     "result_summary": "15:40 TOI, 52% faceoffs, centring ANA's third line. 2.5 fpg. C/LW eligible.",
     "tokens": 1890,
     "at": "2026-12-25T18:13:00-05:00"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "seq": 2,
   "at": "2026-12-25T21:05:00-05:00",
   "from_team": "h03-meridian",
   "to_team": "h03-juniper",
   "action": "MESSAGE",
   "text": "Oh, thank you for flagging that. I hadn't realised the slot was empty, which is a little embarrassing. Is Tremblay-Roy expected to keep starting once Dallas rests its starter?",
   "private": [
    {
     "source": "scratchpad",
     "text": "Team F is right about the empty slot. I should check the backup's workload before agreeing, but the offer looks fair either way.",
     "est_value": {
      "give": 9,
      "get": 41
     },
     "publishable": true
    }
   ],
   "research": [
    {
     "tool": "news_search",
     "query": "Fabian Tremblay-Roy Dallas backup workload January",
     "result_summary": "Beat piece: DAL plans to split back-to-backs; backup projected for roughly one start in three through February.",
     "tokens": 3120,
     "at": "2026-12-25T20:58:00-05:00"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "seq": 3,
   "at": "2026-12-25T21:40:00-05:00",
   "from_team": "h03-juniper",
   "to_team": "h03-meridian",
   "action": "MESSAGE",
   "text": "Honest answer: about one start in three, more on back-to-backs, and Dallas has nine games in fifteen nights in January. That's still a lot more than zero. I'm not trying to squeeze you on this one.",
   "private": [
    {
     "source": "scratchpad",
     "text": "Gave the real workload number. Overselling would just make the next trade with Team C harder.",
     "est_value": {
      "give": 12,
      "get": 48
     },
     "publishable": true
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "seq": 4,
   "at": "2026-12-26T10:12:00-05:00",
   "from_team": "h03-meridian",
   "to_team": "h03-juniper",
   "action": "ACCEPT",
   "text": "That's very fair, and I appreciate the honesty. Accepted. Happy holidays.",
   "private": [
    {
     "source": "scratchpad",
     "text": "Filling an empty slot is worth more than anything Juhl does from my bench. Glad to do this one.",
     "est_value": {
      "give": 9,
      "get": 41
     },
     "publishable": true
    }
   ]
  }
 ],
 "final_offer": {
  "give": [
   "nhl-p120"
  ],
  "get": [
   "nhl-p095"
  ],
  "from_team": "h03-juniper"
 },
 "value": {
  "as_of": "2027-02-01T08:00:00-05:00",
  "series": [
   {
    "week": 3,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 1.2,
     "h03-meridian": 2
    }
   },
   {
    "week": 4,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 2.6,
     "h03-meridian": 4.1
    }
   },
   {
    "week": 5,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 3.9,
     "h03-meridian": 5.8
    }
   },
   {
    "week": 6,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 5.1,
     "h03-meridian": 7.2
    }
   },
   {
    "week": 7,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 6,
     "h03-meridian": 8.5
    }
   },
   {
    "week": 8,
    "by_team": {
     "h03-juniper": 6.8,
     "h03-meridian": 9.4
    }
   }
  ]
 },
 "tells": [],
 "highlight_tags": [
  "win_win"
 ]
}